Sunday, August 26, 2012

Is stock market crash is coming???

A crash in the stock market happens when there is a rapid trading of assets in the stock market which causes stock prices to quickly drop. There is not one single cause to all stock market crashes and many factors influence each crash in a completely different fashion. However, the performance of the economy is a major influence and affects the sentiment of investors. In a prosperous and growing economic where the GDP is increasing, investors will generally feel more optimistic and the stock market is less likely to crash. On the other hand, in a struggling and slowing economy, investors will probably feel less optimistic and began to trade their stocks. The trading of stocks can spark the start of a stock market crash. Other factors that can cause the stock market to crash include unemployment, inflation and high interest rates.
Group Mentality of Investors

Although the performance of the economy is one of the most significant indicators of the direction of the stock market, a crash may be caused by a situation which influences a huge trading of stocks and may not be an economic cause at all. For example, the days after the 9/11 attacks in New York, the stock market fell dramatically because of panic and uncertainty on how the attacks would affect the economy in the future. This shows how the stock market can crash and nearly every crash is the result of the group mentality of investors – an overwhelming feeling of negativity and panic about the future. When high level investors get out of the market because of a particular event, other investors are likely to follow and this creates a mad dash to trade away stocks before the prices drop any further when the news spreads. This type of group mentality is common in single stocks in regular business cycles but during a crash this mentality spreads throughout entire sectors of the economy.
Overpriced Assets

Another variable that may create a situation that influences a stock market crash is the tendency for particular assets to be overpriced because of price speculation. When investors believe that an asset with become more valuable in the future, they will purchase the asset in hopes of taking advantage of those future gains. When a large number of investors purchase the same asset with the anticipation of future gains, the demand that is created will raise the price of the asset. In essence, the investors have created a self-fulfilling prophecy. When more investors continue to purchase the asset because of its expected strong performance, the price will inflate to the point where it is higher than the actual value of the asset. Then the price of the asset will reach a point where it is evident that the price is higher than the actual value and investors will respond by quickly trading the asset, causing a drop in price. This massive trading may create panic and lead to the rapid trading of other assets as well. As an example, during the economic recession in 2008, oil and real estate prices bubbled and then quickly collapsed. This affected many sectors of the economy and lead to falling stock prices.



Do you think any other factors create stock market crashes? What can investors do to protect themselves against stock market crashes? Please leave your comments below.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Thursday, 07 Oct 2010

Here are my recommendations for Thursday, 07 Oct 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Reliance Infra

1120

1200

1080

ST

One month

KS Oils

53

56.5

51

ST

One week

Essar Oil

144

150

141

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Ahluwalia Contracts

212

220

208

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Sunday, October 3, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Monday, 4 Oct 2010

Here are my recommendations for Monday, 04 Oct 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Indian Overseas Bank

136

147

131

ST

One month

Subex Ltd

52

55

50

ST

One week

NMDC Ltd

276

287

268

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Reliance Industries

1006

1044

982

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Sunday, August 29, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Monday, 30 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Monday, 30 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

PTC India

116

125

112

ST

One month

Indian Oil Corporation

410

436

400

ST

One week

Jyoti Structures

141

147

138

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Everest Kanto Cylinder

107

112

105

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Thursday, 26 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Thursday, 26 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Piramal Glass

124

134

120

ST

One month

Indraprastha Gas

320

337

312

ST

One week

JK Tyre

179

187

175

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Tata Coffee

508

530

497

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Wednesday, 25 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Wednesday, 25 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Chambal Fertilizers

71

78

69

ST

One month

TV18

91

98

89

ST

One week

Ucal Fuel

90

94

88

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Wockhardt

238

248

234

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Monday, August 23, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Tuesday, 24 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Tuesday, 24 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Plethico Pharma

406

440

394

ST

One month

Bata India

327

346

318

ST

One week

Castrol India

484

505

474

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Natco Pharma

225

235

220

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Sunday, August 22, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Monday, 23 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Monday, 23 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

United Bank of India

101

111

98

ST

One month

Reliance Industrial Infra

906

960

888

ST

One week

IDBI

131

137

128

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Deepak Fertilizers

161

169

157

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Thursday, 19 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Thursday, 19 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Indian Overseas Bank

133

145

129

ST

One month

Omaxe

131

139

127

ST

One week

BPCL

680

710

668

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Cairn India

340

355

334

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Wednesday, 18 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Wednesday, 18 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Andhra Bank

158

171

153

ST

One month

Arvind

43

46

41.60

ST

One week

Titan Ind

2940

3070

2880

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Allahabad Bank

215

225

210

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Monday, August 16, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Tuesday, 17 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Tuesday, 17 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Sandur Manganese & Iron

640

692

622

ST

One month

Jai Corp

294

311

286

ST

One week

Neyveli Lignite

163

171

160

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Adani Enterprises

625

650

612

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Sunday, August 15, 2010

Delivery based Tips for Monday, 16 Aug 2010

Here are my recommendations for Monday, 16 Aug 2010

SCRIP

Buy Above

Target

SL

Type

Horizon

Ahmednagar Forgings

122

134

118

ST

One month

BPCL

669

710

650

ST

One week

Sesa Goa

354

368

347

Day/BTST

2-3 Days

Reliance Industies

972

1013

954

Day/BTST

2-3 Days